TMHC
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation Common Stock
OPERATIVE BUILDERS
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Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$72.45
-0.02 (-0.03%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.37%
30d:
+1.12%
90d:
+11.46%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
0d
Protect TMHC Gains
Updated Jul 23, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (64%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.3x
STRETCHED
vs 9.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$66.75
-7.9% vs target
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$71.80 / $72.48
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TMHC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.30
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TMHC is currently trading at $72.45, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TMHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TMHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
63.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$71.80
Resistance Level
$72.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 23, 2026
Protect Your Profits
TMHC is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($66.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with -26.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.31
Wall Street Target
$66.75
(-7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-26.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.2%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.06
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$79.87
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$83.86
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$72.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 21.4%)
$239.96
(+231%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 21.4%)
$129.51
(+79%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 21.4%)
$110.08
(+52%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TMHC)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user expresses optimism towards $TMHC and $OPAD, with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment towards $TMHC and $OPAD
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TMHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TMHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TMHC price and gamma walls.
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