Lazard (LAZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$36.67
1.06 (2.98%)
â˛
5d:
+0.41%
30d:
+0.52%
90d:
-15.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LAZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LAZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.66
21.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $36.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.28 to $37.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LAZ scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.88 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LAZ scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.88 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$35.28 -
$37.84
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.28 -
$37.84
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.13
Resistance Level
$37.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.26
Wall Street Target
$42.88
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.2%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.08
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$35.51
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$34.94
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â11)
$36.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 74.0%)
$239.48
(+553%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 74.0%)
$123.76
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 74.0%)
$105.20
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.04
Bull Case
$68.61
(+87%)
Analyst growth 75.1%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$62.37
(+70%)
Market implied 75.1%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$24.21
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$38.59
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 4:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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