LAZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LAZ - Lazard, Inc.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$44.15
1.38 (3.23%) ▲
5d: -1.1%
30d: +2.56%
90d: -7.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LAZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.72
12.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $44.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.29 to $44.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.31, while resistance sits at $46.05. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $42.29 - $44.47
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.38)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 0.1% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $42.29 - $44.47
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.32
Resistance Level $46.05
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.47
Wall Street Target $47.38 (+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.2%
Profit Margin 7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium
PE vs Historical 11.5 vs 10.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.90 (+2%)
2-Year Target $45.66 (+3%)
3-Year Target $46.44 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) PE COMPRESSION $44.12 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 72.6%) $260.66 (+490%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 72.6%) $149.01 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 9.8, Growth: 72.6%) $126.66 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.92
Bull Case $94.09 (+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case $85.54 (+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case $29.08 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Hogbin SELL 3944 shares 2026-03-19
Christopher Hogbin SELL 7885 shares 2026-03-18
Peter Richard Orszag SELL 69170 shares 2026-03-17

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