LFUS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LFUS - Littelfuse Inc

SWITCHGEAR & SWITCHBOARD APPARATUS
$450.00
-9.01 (-1.96%) ▼
5d: -2.01%
30d: +8.32%
90d: -6.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LFUS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$806.92
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$501.04
10.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LFUS is currently trading at $450.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $402.24 to $448.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LFUS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $421.29, while resistance sits at $474.97.

Market Sentiment: LFUS scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $402.24 - $448.87
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($488.75)
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $402.24 - $448.87
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $421.29
Resistance Level $474.97
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.40
Wall Street Target $488.75 (+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 51.7%
Profit Margin -0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.4 vs 23.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $440.55 (-2%)
2-Year Target $431.30 (-4%)
3-Year Target $422.24 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→24) $450.59 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.1%) $741.00 (+65%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.1%) $669.32 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 18.1%) $568.92 (+26%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.4 to 23.9
Stabilization Target: $480.21 (+6.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.7%
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Last updated: August 14, 2026 9:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kristina A Cerniglia SELL 2343 shares 2026-02-24
Gordon Hunter SELL 911 shares 2026-02-20

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