MKSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MKSI - MKS Inc. Common Stock

INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL
$387.90
-32.66 (-7.77%) ▼
5d: +3.35%
30d: +23.87%
90d: +65.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MKSI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$625.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$388.54
0.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MKSI is currently trading at $387.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $303.51 to $368.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.1) compared to its historical average (21.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MKSI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $298.00, while resistance sits at $418.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: MKSI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $359.92. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $303.51 - $368.70
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 41.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.8%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 14.4% above Wall St target ($359.92)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.4% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $303.51 - $368.70
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $298.00
Resistance Level $418.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.14
Wall Street Target $359.92 (-14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 53.2%
Profit Margin 8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.4% premium
PE vs Historical 28.1 vs 21.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $460.09 (+9%)
2-Year Target $503.34 (+20%)
3-Year Target $550.66 (+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→22) PE COMPRESSION $420.73 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.1, Growth: 27.8%) $877.00 (+109%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 27.8%) $678.80 (+61%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 27.8%) $576.98 (+37%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $40.58
Bull Case $507.83 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case $420.56 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case $321.73 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jacqueline F Moloney SELL 340 shares 2026-03-12
Eric Robert Taranto SELL 4568 shares 2026-03-06
Elizabeth Mora SELL 300 shares 2026-03-02

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