NCNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCNO - nCino, Inc. Common Stock
$23.32
1.81 (8.41%)
▲
5d:
+14.54%
30d:
+23.84%
90d:
+47.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: NCNO is 11.7% above its trading range ($20.88). Market expects 6.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: NCNO is 11.7% above its trading range ($20.88). Market expects 6.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.12
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCNO is currently trading at $23.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.72 to $20.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.7) compared to its historical average (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCNO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: NCNO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCNO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: NCNO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.72 -
$20.88
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Protect Your Profits
NCNO is technically overbought (RSI 77). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.64)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.6% growth expectation is conservative given 148% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.72 -
$20.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.14
Resistance Level
$23.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.73
Wall Street Target
$23.64
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
147.6%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 18.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.86
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$26.50
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$28.25
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 13.5%)
$34.06
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.5%)
$30.08
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.5%)
$25.56
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.60
Bull Case
$28.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$23.32
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$17.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 27, 2026 9:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeanette Sellers
SELL
1873 shares
2026-04-14
Sean Desmond
SELL
15440 shares
2026-04-06
Gregory Orenstein
SELL
8840 shares
2026-04-02
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