Is NEE stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, NEE is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NEE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of NEE stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for NEE to be between $76.30 and $80.92. The current price is $83.71.

What is the analyst price target for NEE?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for NEE is $94.58. This implies a potential upside of 13.0% from current levels.

NextEra Energy (NEE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NEE - NextEra Energy, Inc.

ELECTRIC SERVICES

$83.71

1.57 (1.91%) ▲

5d: +1.96%

30d: +9.64%

90d: -3.28%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your NEE Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 21, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $79.80 · last confirmed Oct 30, 2026

Strength: 8.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NEE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$118.77

Based on 6.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$73.75

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEE is currently trading at $83.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.30 to $80.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 93.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: NEE scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.58 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $76.30 - $80.92

Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 26.2%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($94.58)
WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $76.30 - $80.92

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $77.93

Resistance Level $84.40

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.12

Wall Street Target $94.58 (+13.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 93.2%

Profit Margin 40.4%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 19.1 vs 20.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $82.45 (-2%)

2-Year Target $81.22 (-3%)

3-Year Target $80.00 (-4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→20) $83.68 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.6%) $111.50 (+33%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 8.6%) $107.35 (+28%)

Bear: (PE: 16.3, Growth: 8.6%) $91.24 (+9%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 14.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.55

Bull Case $71.27 (-15%)

Analyst growth -21.1%, PE expands to 16.3

Base Case $64.79 (-23%)

Market implied -21.1%, PE stable at 14.8

Bear Case $55.86 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 20.0

Stabilization Target: $87.56 (+4.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +4.6%

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Last updated: October 31, 2026 10:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM

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