NIU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NIU - Niu Technologies American Depositary Shares
$2.15
-0.01 (-0.46%)
▼
5d:
+2.87%
30d:
-4.87%
90d:
-25.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.97
27.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIU is currently trading at $2.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.02 to $2.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.6) compared to its historical average (1.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIU is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.08, while resistance sits at $2.60.
Market Sentiment: NIU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.11 (+44.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIU is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.08, while resistance sits at $2.60.
Market Sentiment: NIU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.11 (+44.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.02 -
$2.27
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.8% below Wall St target ($3.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.02 -
$2.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.08
Resistance Level
$2.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.58
Wall Street Target
$3.11
(+44.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.7%
Profit Margin
-2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.6 vs 1.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.04
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$1.94
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$1.84
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$2.10
(-2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 117.0%)
$100.31
(+4566%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.6, Growth: 117.0%)
$7.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.3, Growth: 117.0%)
$6.17
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.6 to 1.8
Stabilization Target:
$2.46
(+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NIU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fion Wenjuan Zhou
SELL
22113 shares
2026-03-16
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