ONON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONON - On Holding AG
$37.08
-0.39 (-1.04%)
▼
5d:
-9.16%
30d:
+2.83%
90d:
-10.56%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ONON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ONON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.88
Based on 13.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.98
24.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONON is currently trading at $37.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.97 to $39.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.6) compared to its historical average (28.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 81.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONON is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.66 (+42.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONON is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.66 (+42.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$34.97 -
$39.02
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ONON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.0% below Wall St target ($52.66)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.97 -
$39.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.14
Resistance Level
$41.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.57
Wall Street Target
$52.66
(+42.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
81.1%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 28.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.85
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$30.91
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$28.22
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→28)
$37.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 22.2%)
$68.65
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: 22.2%)
$67.60
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.3, Growth: 22.2%)
$57.46
(+55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$74.73
(+102%)
Analyst growth 80.9%, PE expands to 43.5
Base Case
$67.93
(+83%)
Market implied 80.9%, PE stable at 39.5
Bear Case
$25.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 28.4
Stabilization Target:
$48.82
(+31.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 06, 2026 5:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Martin Hoffmann
SELL
4150 shares
2026-04-20
Martin Hoffmann
SELL
4150 shares
2026-04-13
Martin Hoffmann
SELL
4150 shares
2026-04-06
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Advanced ONON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ONON price and gamma walls.
