Orion Group (ORN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORN - Orion Group Holdings, Inc
$8.62
0.12 (1.35%)
▲
5d:
-5.85%
30d:
-6.97%
90d:
-16.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ORN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ORN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.50
31.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORN is currently trading at $8.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.53 to $9.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 68.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.10, while resistance sits at $9.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.65 (+72.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.10, while resistance sits at $9.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.65 (+72.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.53 -
$9.16
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 72.4% below Wall St target ($14.65)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.53 -
$9.16
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.10
Resistance Level
$9.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.30
Wall Street Target
$14.65
(+72.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.9%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 24.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.96
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$7.46
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$6.99
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$8.51
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.3, Growth: 58.4%)
$28.69
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 58.4%)
$28.06
(+230%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 58.4%)
$23.85
(+181%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.41
Bull Case
$10.26
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$8.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$6.50
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 24.7
Stabilization Target:
$10.34
(+21.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 03, 2026 1:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ORN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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