OSCR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OSCR - Oscar Health, Inc.

HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS
$20.50
-0.64 (-3.03%) ▼
5d: -6.78%
30d: +10.39%
90d: +36.21%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 8.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSCR trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.13
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OSCR is currently trading at $20.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.08 to $23.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OSCR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $19.08 - $23.55
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.20)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.2% growth expectation is conservative given 126% recent growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.8% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $19.08 - $23.55
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.09
Resistance Level $24.70
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.66
Wall Street Target $21.20 (+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 52.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 125.6%
Profit Margin -0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.2% premium
PE vs Historical 14.7 vs 11.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.98 (+7%)
2-Year Target $23.56 (+15%)
3-Year Target $25.25 (+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→12) PE COMPRESSION $20.50 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 39.0%) $82.39 (+302%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 39.0%) $55.11 (+169%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: 39.0%) $44.75 (+118%)
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark T Bertolini BUY 1000000 shares 2026-04-06
Mario Schlosser SELL 23038 shares 2026-01-08
Mario Schlosser SELL 76962 shares 2026-01-06

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Advanced OSCR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OSCR price and gamma walls.

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