PII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$70.64
3.56 (5.31%)
▲
5d:
-5.44%
30d:
+11.91%
90d:
+6.35%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.93
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.16
15.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $70.64, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.16 to $73.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.0) compared to its historical average (24.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.72, while resistance sits at $77.98. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.72, while resistance sits at $77.98. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$66.16 -
$73.12
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($72.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.16 -
$73.12
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.72
Resistance Level
$77.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.98
Wall Street Target
$72.00
(+1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 24.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.68
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$62.95
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$59.42
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→25)
$70.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 15.8%)
$109.74
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.8%)
$108.43
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 15.8%)
$92.17
(+31%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.0 to 24.9
Stabilization Target:
$83.84
(+18.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Benjamin D Duke
SELL
10090 shares
2026-02-11
Michael T Speetzen
SELL
35086 shares
2026-02-11
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