PII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$68.76
-2.60 (-3.64%)
▼
5d:
-3.06%
30d:
+9.04%
90d:
+31.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.13
26.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $68.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.23 to $70.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $65.56, while resistance sits at $71.34. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $65.56, while resistance sits at $71.34. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$65.23 -
$70.36
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.23 -
$70.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.56
Resistance Level
$71.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.08
Wall Street Target
$68.00
(-1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 25.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.53
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$62.45
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$59.51
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→26)
$68.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 71.0%)
$232.06
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 71.0%)
$228.89
(+233%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 71.0%)
$194.55
(+183%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$79.40
(+15.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Benjamin D Duke
SELL
10090 shares
2026-02-11
Michael T Speetzen
SELL
35086 shares
2026-02-11
James P Williams
SELL
5243 shares
2026-02-03
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