Winnebago Industries (WGO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WGO - Winnebago Industries, Inc.
$30.61
0.38 (1.26%)
▲
5d:
+6.84%
30d:
+16.08%
90d:
-2.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WGO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WGO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.83
14.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WGO is currently trading at $30.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.91 to $28.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WGO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.57 (+16.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WGO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.57 (+16.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.91 -
$28.35
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -17.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.91 -
$28.35
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.95
Resistance Level
$30.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.81
Wall Street Target
$35.57
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.0%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.98
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$31.35
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$31.73
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.72
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.0%)
$114.28
(+273%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 34.0%)
$73.70
(+141%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 34.0%)
$62.64
(+105%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.21
Bull Case
$65.68
(+115%)
Analyst growth 97.5%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case
$59.71
(+95%)
Market implied 97.5%, PE stable at 25.0
Bear Case
$20.56
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 31, 2026 10:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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