Winnebago Industries (WGO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WGO - Winnebago Industries, Inc.
$23.39
-1.26 (-5.11%)
▼
5d:
-11.06%
30d:
-17.03%
90d:
-20.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: WGO is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: WGO is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.81
34.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WGO is currently trading at $23.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.40 to $29.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: WGO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.80 (+61.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: WGO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.80 (+61.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$25.40 -
$29.01
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 61.6% below Wall St target ($37.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.40 -
$29.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.30
Resistance Level
$27.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.87
Wall Street Target
$37.80
(+61.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.64
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$20.01
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$18.51
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$23.44
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 31.4%)
$106.69
(+356%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 31.4%)
$53.03
(+127%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 31.4%)
$45.08
(+93%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case
$47.24
(+102%)
Analyst growth 74.2%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$42.95
(+84%)
Market implied 74.2%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$16.76
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$29.62
(+26.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 11, 2026 3:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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