Winnebago Industries (WGO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WGO - Winnebago Industries, Inc.
$27.12
-0.18 (-0.66%)
▼
5d:
-5.74%
30d:
-14.12%
90d:
-5.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WGO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WGO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.42
25.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WGO is currently trading at $27.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.90 to $32.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $26.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+40.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $26.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+40.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.90 -
$32.23
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($38.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.90 -
$32.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.95
Resistance Level
$31.25
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.34
Wall Street Target
$38.00
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.17
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$25.25
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$24.37
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$27.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 32.5%)
$112.19
(+314%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 32.5%)
$63.04
(+132%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 32.5%)
$53.58
(+98%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case
$52.78
(+95%)
Analyst growth 75.8%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$47.99
(+77%)
Market implied 75.8%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$18.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$30.12
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 17, 2026 6:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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