Powell Industries (POWL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
POWL - Powell Industries Inc
$188.12
-3.81 (-1.99%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.91%
30d:
+3.08%
90d:
-19.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 8, 2026 at $189.27 · last confirmed Oct 8, 2026
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: POWL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: POWL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$331.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$206.10
8.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POWL is currently trading at $188.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $178.03 to $194.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.1) compared to its historical average (25.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POWL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $180.29, while resistance sits at $207.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $280.00 (+45.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POWL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $180.29, while resistance sits at $207.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $280.00 (+45.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$178.03 -
$194.46
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding POWL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.9% below Wall St target ($280.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$178.03 -
$194.46
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$18.25
(9.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$180.29
Resistance Level
$207.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.15
Wall Street Target
$280.00
(+45.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
28.2 vs 25.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$199.22
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$206.79
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$214.65
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28â25)
PE COMPRESSION
$192.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.2, Growth: 27.0%)
$393.35
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.0%)
$277.50
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 27.0%)
$235.88
(+23%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.22
Bull Case
$271.93
(+42%)
Analyst growth 30.6%, PE expands to 39.9
Base Case
$247.21
(+29%)
Market implied 30.6%, PE stable at 36.3
Bear Case
$128.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 12, 2026 11:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is POWL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced POWL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's POWL price and gamma walls.
