PRG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRG - PROG Holdings, Inc.
$34.14
-1.84 (-5.11%)
▼
5d:
-9.39%
30d:
-4.88%
90d:
+0.38%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
Get Alerted When PRG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PRG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PRG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.68
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.68
9.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRG is currently trading at $34.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.81 to $36.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.4) compared to its historical average (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRG is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $32.51, while resistance sits at $38.57. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.79 (+34.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRG is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $32.51, while resistance sits at $38.57. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.79 (+34.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.81 -
$36.75
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
15th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PRG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($45.79)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.81 -
$36.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.82
(8.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.51
Resistance Level
$38.57
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.40
Wall Street Target
$45.79
(+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 7.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.71
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$31.33
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$30.02
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$34.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$176.20
(+416%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$51.49
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$43.76
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.93
Bull Case
$56.24
(+51%)
Analyst growth 35.7%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$51.13
(+37%)
Market implied 35.7%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$25.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$38.93
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 10:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PRG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Rental & Leasing Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Rental & Leasing Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
URI
United Rentals Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$1084 | 56 HOLD |
|
FTAI
FTAI Aviation Ltd. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$339 | 55 HOLD |
|
AER
AerCap Holdings NV |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$164 | 57 HOLD |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$65 | 64 BUY |
|
HRI
Herc Holdings Inc |
BUY
10 analysts |
$169 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced PRG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PRG price and gamma walls.
