QuidelOrtho (QDEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QDEL - QuidelOrtho Corporation Common Stock
$12.76
-0.15 (-1.16%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.7%
30d:
+20.15%
90d:
-22.34%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: QDEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: QDEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.46
5.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QDEL is currently trading at $12.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.55 to $12.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.72, while resistance sits at $14.65.
Market Sentiment: QDEL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.67 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.72, while resistance sits at $14.65.
Market Sentiment: QDEL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.67 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$10.55 -
$12.93
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QDEL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.8% growth with 2.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.55 -
$12.93
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.72
Resistance Level
$14.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 19, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.94
Wall Street Target
$14.67
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.1%
Profit Margin
-39.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.37
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$14.01
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$14.69
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 84.6%)
$95.68
(+650%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 84.6%)
$43.06
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 84.6%)
$36.61
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 19, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QDEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced QDEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QDEL price and gamma walls.
