QDEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QDEL - QuidelOrtho Corporation Common Stock
$14.85
1.05 (7.61%)
â˛
5d:
-1.59%
30d:
-10.97%
90d:
+24.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: QDEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: QDEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QDEL is currently trading at $14.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.44 to $17.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.41, while resistance sits at $15.52. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: QDEL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.41, while resistance sits at $15.52. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: QDEL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.44 -
$17.61
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QDEL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 20.5% above Wall St target ($12.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.9% growth with 2.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.44 -
$17.61
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.41
Resistance Level
$15.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.28
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(-20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.1%
Profit Margin
-39.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 7.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.73
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$18.56
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$20.58
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.02
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 88.4%)
$100.26
(+564%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 88.4%)
$50.93
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 88.4%)
$37.17
(+146%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 20, 2026 4:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QDEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced QDEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QDEL price and gamma walls.
