RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RLJ - RLJ Lodging Trust

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$11.65
0.02 (0.17%) ▲
5d: +3.93%
30d: +6.78%
90d: -2.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RLJ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RLJ is currently trading at $11.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.86 to $11.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 728.1) compared to its historical average (183.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 58.2% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RLJ is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.96, while resistance sits at $12.12.

Market Sentiment: RLJ scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.86 - $11.34
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 19.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.85)
  • BEARISH: Market expects 58.2% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.86 - $11.34
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.96
Resistance Level $12.12
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 16, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 728.12
Wall Street Target $11.85 (+1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.4%
Profit Margin 2.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +58.2% premium
PE vs Historical 728.1 vs 183.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +58.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.48 (+50%)
2-Year Target $26.21 (+125%)
3-Year Target $39.32 (+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 728→184) PE COMPRESSION $9.93 (-15%)
Significant PE compression expected
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 728.1, Growth: -77.1%) $8.49 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -77.1%) $0.23 (-98%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -77.1%) $0.20 (-98%)
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Last updated: October 18, 2026 11:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:38 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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