RPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPD - Rapid7, Inc. Common Stock
$12.21
-0.38 (-3.06%)
▼
5d:
-0.53%
30d:
+15.03%
90d:
+75.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 19, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RPD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RPD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.91
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPD is currently trading at $12.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.90 to $12.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (5.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.06, while resistance sits at $14.79. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: RPD scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.61. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.06, while resistance sits at $14.79. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: RPD scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.61. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.90 -
$12.58
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RPD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 23.0% above Wall St target ($10.61)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 13.4% growth with -1.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.90 -
$12.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.06
Resistance Level
$14.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 19, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.84
Wall Street Target
$10.61
(-23.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.4% premium
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 5.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.63
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$17.72
(+29%)
3-Year Target
$20.10
(+46%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.84
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -2.2%)
$33.22
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: -2.2%)
$12.88
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: -2.2%)
$8.87
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.28
Bull Case
$26.99
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.2
Base Case
$24.54
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.8
Bear Case
$8.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 20, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott M Murphy
SELL
827 shares
2026-04-22
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