SKY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.
$80.16
-1.07 (-1.32%)
▼
5d:
-4.21%
30d:
+6.7%
90d:
+1.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.58
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $80.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.52 to $85.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (21.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.67 (+13.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.67 (+13.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$77.52 -
$85.97
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($90.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.52 -
$85.97
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.58
Resistance Level
$79.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.56
Wall Street Target
$90.67
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.3%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 21.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.08
(0%)
2-Year Target
$80.00
(0%)
3-Year Target
$79.92
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
$80.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.4%)
$77.64
(+-3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: -1.4%)
$76.87
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.3, Growth: -1.4%)
$65.34
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.66
Bull Case
$90.76
(+13%)
Analyst growth 1.6%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$82.51
(+3%)
Market implied 1.6%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$55.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 21.6
Stabilization Target:
$80.30
(+0.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:26 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Kimmell
SELL
2880 shares
2026-03-06
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-23
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