SKY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.
$79.61
-0.71 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
-2.47%
30d:
-6.21%
90d:
+4.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SKY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SKY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.97
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $79.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.45 to $86.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (21.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.50 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.50 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$80.45 -
$86.02
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($92.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.45 -
$86.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.88
Resistance Level
$85.16
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.41
Wall Street Target
$92.50
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.3%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 21.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.29
(0%)
2-Year Target
$78.97
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$78.66
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$79.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.4, Growth: -1.4%)
$76.34
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -1.4%)
$73.90
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -1.4%)
$62.82
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.66
Bull Case
$89.74
(+13%)
Analyst growth 1.6%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$81.58
(+3%)
Market implied 1.6%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$54.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.4 to 21.7
Stabilization Target:
$80.67
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Kimmell
SELL
2880 shares
2026-03-06
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-23
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