SKY Champion Homes, Inc. MOBILE HOMES

Champion Homes (SKY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$92.61
-0.21 (-0.23%) ▼
5d: -3.7% 30d: +18.11% 90d: -3.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (30%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$76.87 – $89.69
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
25.0x FAIR
vs 22.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$105.00
+13.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$78.10 / $97.56
Trend: Sideways
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SKY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.56
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.37
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $92.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.87 to $89.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.0) compared to its historical average (22.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $78.10, while resistance sits at $97.56.

Market Sentiment: SKY scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.00 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $76.87 - $89.69
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 29.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $76.87 - $89.69
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $78.10
Resistance Level $97.56
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($105.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with 6.2% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.97
Wall Street Target $105.00 (+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.8%
Profit Margin 6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.2% premium
PE vs Historical 25.0 vs 22.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $96.72 (+4%)
2-Year Target $100.78 (+9%)
3-Year Target $105.01 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→22) PE COMPRESSION $92.95 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.0, Growth: -1.4%) $89.01 (+-4%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.4%) $70.80 (-24%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -1.4%) $60.18 (-35%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.37
Bull Case $116.96 (+26%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 31.5
Base Case $106.33 (+15%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 28.6
Bear Case $65.55 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SKY)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 22, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits messages indicate a bullish sentiment towards $SKY stock with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment towards $SKY
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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