Champion Homes (SKY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.
$78.12
2.39 (3.16%)
▲
5d:
-2.28%
30d:
-8.59%
90d:
-4.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.16
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $78.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.57 to $87.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $74.36, while resistance sits at $81.87. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SKY scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.83 (+34.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $74.36, while resistance sits at $81.87. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SKY scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.83 (+34.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$78.57 -
$87.06
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.5% below Wall St target ($101.83)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.57 -
$87.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.36
Resistance Level
$81.87
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.37
Wall Street Target
$101.83
(+34.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.2%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 22.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.76
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$71.84
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$69.98
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$75.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -1.4%)
$72.62
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.4%)
$70.80
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -1.4%)
$60.18
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.43
Bull Case
$91.04
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$82.76
(+9%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$51.92
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$81.78
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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