SKY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.
$90.25
0.30 (0.33%)
â˛
5d:
-4.53%
30d:
+12.94%
90d:
+29.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SKY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SKY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.37
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $90.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.12 to $92.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (21.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SKY scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.50 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SKY scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.50 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$81.12 -
$92.45
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($103.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 1.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.12 -
$92.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.31
Resistance Level
$96.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.28
Wall Street Target
$103.50
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.2%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
24.3 vs 21.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.50
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$96.86
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$100.35
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â22)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.3, Growth: -1.4%)
$86.55
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -1.4%)
$71.55
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -1.4%)
$60.82
(-33%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case
$110.79
(+23%)
Analyst growth 12.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$100.72
(+12%)
Market implied 12.0%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$61.17
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Kimmell
SELL
2880 shares
2026-03-06
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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