Champion Homes (SKY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.
$83.16
1.41 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
-3.43%
30d:
-11.42%
90d:
+3.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SKY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SKY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.16
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $83.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.66 to $93.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.38, while resistance sits at $91.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.50 (+24.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.38, while resistance sits at $91.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.50 (+24.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$85.66 -
$93.68
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($103.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 1.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.66 -
$93.68
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.38
Resistance Level
$91.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.37
Wall Street Target
$103.50
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.2%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 22.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.66
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$84.16
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$84.67
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -1.4%)
$79.75
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -1.4%)
$71.90
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -1.4%)
$61.12
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.36
Bull Case
$99.49
(+20%)
Analyst growth 10.6%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$90.45
(+9%)
Market implied 10.6%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case
$55.59
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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