SKY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.
$82.70
-3.32 (-3.86%)
▼
5d:
+1.81%
30d:
+2.45%
90d:
+9.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.97
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $82.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.62 to $86.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.2) is in line with its historical norms (21.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $78.22, while resistance sits at $86.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $78.22, while resistance sits at $86.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$79.62 -
$86.29
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($92.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 4.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.62 -
$86.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.22
Resistance Level
$86.94
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.25
Wall Street Target
$92.00
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.3%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
22.3 vs 21.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.44
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$84.20
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$84.95
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.2, Growth: -1.4%)
$79.31
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: -1.4%)
$74.90
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.9, Growth: -1.4%)
$63.66
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.76
Bull Case
$93.55
(+13%)
Analyst growth -1.1%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$85.05
(+3%)
Market implied -1.1%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$58.49
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 19, 2026 2:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Kimmell
SELL
2880 shares
2026-03-06
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-23
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