Champion Homes (SKY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.
$87.48
1.78 (2.08%)
▲
5d:
+2.1%
30d:
+2.1%
90d:
+2.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SKY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SKY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.16
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $87.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.06 to $89.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.5) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.50 (+18.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.50 (+18.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$84.06 -
$89.24
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($103.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with 1.3% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.06 -
$89.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.02
Resistance Level
$90.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.53
Wall Street Target
$103.50
(+18.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.2%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 22.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.40
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$91.37
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$93.38
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.5, Growth: -1.4%)
$83.89
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -1.4%)
$72.72
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -1.4%)
$61.82
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case
$103.38
(+18%)
Analyst growth 9.7%, PE expands to 27.8
Base Case
$93.98
(+7%)
Market implied 9.7%, PE stable at 25.3
Bear Case
$58.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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