SKYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKYW - Skywest Inc
$81.19
-0.63 (-0.77%)
▼
5d:
-6.29%
30d:
-0.22%
90d:
-19.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SKYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SKYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.73
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.28
3.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKYW is currently trading at $81.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.44 to $86.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.89, while resistance sits at $89.68.
Market Sentiment: SKYW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.50 (+49.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.89, while resistance sits at $89.68.
Market Sentiment: SKYW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.50 (+49.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$81.44 -
$86.34
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.6% below Wall St target ($121.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.44 -
$86.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.89
Resistance Level
$89.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.77
Wall Street Target
$121.50
(+49.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 8.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.48
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$72.05
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$67.87
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$81.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$348.42
(+329%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$107.71
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$91.55
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.43
Bull Case
$109.53
(+27%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$99.57
(+16%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$58.92
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$97.09
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 1:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wade J Steel
SELL
20629 shares
2026-02-24
Wade J Steel
SELL
7371 shares
2026-02-18
Meredith Siegfried Madden
SELL
4725 shares
2025-12-11
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