SKYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKYW - Skywest Inc
$111.38
4.41 (4.12%)
▲
5d:
+0.99%
30d:
+14.97%
90d:
+33.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKYW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKYW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.17
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKYW is currently trading at $111.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.77 to $106.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SKYW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.17 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SKYW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.17 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$95.77 -
$106.19
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($125.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with 6.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.77 -
$106.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.22
Resistance Level
$114.27
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.21
Wall Street Target
$125.17
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.7%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.28
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$121.40
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$126.74
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$111.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.9%)
$342.27
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 10.9%)
$152.01
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 10.9%)
$129.21
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.70
Bull Case
$150.45
(+41%)
Analyst growth 24.7%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$136.77
(+28%)
Market implied 24.7%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$74.57
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wade J Steel
SELL
20629 shares
2026-02-24
Wade J Steel
SELL
7371 shares
2026-02-18
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