SKYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKYW - Skywest Inc
$97.78
-1.94 (-1.95%)
▼
5d:
-0.98%
30d:
+14.77%
90d:
+3.68%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKYW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKYW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.93
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKYW is currently trading at $97.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.29 to $99.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.00 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.00 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$89.29 -
$99.21
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($123.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.29 -
$99.21
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.01
Resistance Level
$89.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.16
Wall Street Target
$123.00
(+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.27
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$98.76
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$99.25
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$97.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$352.07
(+260%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$131.85
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$112.07
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.43
Bull Case
$126.07
(+29%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$114.61
(+17%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$67.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wade J Steel
SELL
20629 shares
2026-02-24
Wade J Steel
SELL
7371 shares
2026-02-18
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