Skywest (SKYW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKYW - Skywest Inc
$96.43
-1.26 (-1.29%)
▼
5d:
-5.73%
30d:
+1.55%
90d:
-2.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SKYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SKYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.10
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKYW is currently trading at $96.43, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.35 to $100.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.50 (+31.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.50 (+31.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$95.35 -
$100.36
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($126.50)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.35 -
$100.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.25
Resistance Level
$103.91
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.90
Wall Street Target
$126.50
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.7%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$94.70
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$93.85
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$96.28
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.2%)
$361.36
(+275%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$139.86
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 13.2%)
$118.88
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.07
Bull Case
$130.33
(+35%)
Analyst growth 21.3%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$118.48
(+23%)
Market implied 21.3%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$66.43
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$98.93
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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