Skywest (SKYW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKYW - Skywest Inc
$96.14
0.36 (0.38%)
▲
5d:
-0.1%
30d:
-10.34%
90d:
+7.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKYW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SKYW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.19
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKYW is currently trading at $96.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.05 to $108.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $93.11, while resistance sits at $100.01.
Market Sentiment: SKYW scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.50 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $93.11, while resistance sits at $100.01.
Market Sentiment: SKYW scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.50 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$96.05 -
$108.25
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($126.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$96.05 -
$108.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.11
Resistance Level
$100.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.87
Wall Street Target
$126.50
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.7%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.08
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$94.04
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$93.00
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$95.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.6%)
$352.19
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 12.6%)
$137.36
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 12.6%)
$116.76
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.05
Bull Case
$128.12
(+33%)
Analyst growth 21.6%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$116.47
(+21%)
Market implied 21.6%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$65.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$98.99
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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