SKYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKYW - Skywest Inc
$101.68
0.59 (0.58%)
▲
5d:
-3.71%
30d:
-1.9%
90d:
+19.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SKYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SKYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.18
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKYW is currently trading at $101.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.72 to $111.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $99.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.17 (+23.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $99.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.17 (+23.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$99.72 -
$111.53
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($125.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 6.5% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.72 -
$111.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$99.40
Resistance Level
$110.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.36
Wall Street Target
$125.17
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.7%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.00
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$102.92
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$103.84
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.66
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.9%)
$331.44
(+228%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 10.9%)
$137.99
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 10.9%)
$117.29
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.07
Bull Case
$133.19
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.1%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$121.08
(+20%)
Market implied 20.1%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$68.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 5:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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