SKYW Skywest Inc AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED

Skywest (SKYW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$82.34
-0.16 (-0.19%) ▼
5d: +3.73% 30d: -11.71% 90d: -22.03%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$83.29 – $96.20
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.7x FAIR
vs 8.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$117.83
+43.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$77.68 / $86.41
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SKYW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.74
Based on 3.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.55
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SKYW is currently trading at $82.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.29 to $96.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.68, while resistance sits at $86.41.

Market Sentiment: SKYW scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.83 (+43.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $83.29 - $96.20
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $83.29 - $96.20
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $77.68
Resistance Level $86.41
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 43.1% below Wall St target ($117.83)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 85/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.67
Wall Street Target $117.83 (+43.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Profit Margin 9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.7 vs 8.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $80.94 (-2%)
2-Year Target $79.56 (-3%)
3-Year Target $78.21 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) $82.55 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.0%) $225.98 (+174%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 2.0%) $87.32 (+6%)
Bear: (PE: 6.5, Growth: 2.0%) $74.22 (-10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.32
Bull Case $94.35 (+15%)
Analyst growth 4.0%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case $85.77 (+4%)
Market implied 4.0%, PE stable at 8.0
Bear Case $56.10 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 8.1
Stabilization Target: $86.91 (+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SKYW)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Investor $Username is bullish on $SKYW ahead of earnings report, citing the company's strong earnings history. No recent news articles are available.
Key Retail Themes: bullish sentiment towards $SKYW earnings report
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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