SPB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPB - Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.
$83.89
-0.80 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
+0.62%
30d:
+0.07%
90d:
+6.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.51
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPB is currently trading at $83.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.16 to $85.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$82.16 -
$85.54
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($88.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.16 -
$85.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.61
Resistance Level
$83.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.53
Wall Street Target
$88.00
(+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2634.3%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.23
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$89.85
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$92.54
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$84.59
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.7%)
$132.39
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 3.7%)
$94.43
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 3.7%)
$80.26
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.12
Bull Case
$97.58
(+15%)
Analyst growth 6.5%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$88.71
(+5%)
Market implied 6.5%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$56.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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