SPB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPB - Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.
$86.91
0.75 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
-3.36%
30d:
-0.59%
90d:
+15.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SPB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.41
Based on -3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPB is currently trading at $86.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.63 to $89.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SPB scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.71 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SPB scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.71 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$87.63 -
$89.88
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.63 -
$89.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.26
Resistance Level
$91.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.51
Wall Street Target
$99.71
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2634.3%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.91
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$90.95
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$93.05
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.00
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -10.5%)
$82.00
(+-6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: -10.5%)
$63.36
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: -10.5%)
$53.85
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$169.71
(+95%)
Analyst growth 79.1%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$154.28
(+78%)
Market implied 79.1%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$58.59
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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