Spectrum Brands (SPB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPB - Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.
$79.45
-0.06 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
-6.28%
30d:
-7.68%
90d:
-6.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SPB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SPB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.88
Based on -3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPB is currently trading at $79.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.42 to $88.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2634.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SPB scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.71 (+25.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SPB scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.71 (+25.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$83.42 -
$88.69
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.5% below Wall St target ($99.71)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.42 -
$88.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.71
Resistance Level
$88.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.18
Wall Street Target
$99.71
(+25.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2634.3%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.66
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$77.87
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$77.09
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$79.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -10.5%)
$83.35
(+5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: -10.5%)
$57.92
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: -10.5%)
$49.23
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.22
Bull Case
$152.23
(+92%)
Analyst growth 74.1%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case
$138.39
(+74%)
Market implied 74.1%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$54.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$81.83
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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