Spectrum Brands (SPB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPB - Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.
$86.22
0.60 (0.70%)
▲
5d:
-2.48%
30d:
-2.49%
90d:
+2.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPB is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SPB is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.88
Based on -3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPB is currently trading at $86.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.72 to $89.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.71 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.71 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$86.72 -
$89.66
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.72 -
$89.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.54
Resistance Level
$89.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.38
Wall Street Target
$99.71
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2634.3%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.86
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$89.53
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$91.23
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.58
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -10.5%)
$82.41
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: -10.5%)
$62.85
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: -10.5%)
$53.43
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.22
Bull Case
$163.93
(+90%)
Analyst growth 74.1%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$149.03
(+73%)
Market implied 74.1%, PE stable at 26.6
Bear Case
$58.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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