Spectrum Brands (SPB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPB - Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.
$78.96
-0.60 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
+2.49%
30d:
-10.29%
90d:
-9.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.08
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPB is currently trading at $78.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.12 to $85.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2634.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPB scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.75 (+25.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPB scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.75 (+25.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$77.12 -
$85.03
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (84/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.1% below Wall St target ($98.75)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 84/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.12 -
$85.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.04
Resistance Level
$80.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.70
Wall Street Target
$98.75
(+25.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2634.3%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.46
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$75.99
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$74.54
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$78.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -5.1%)
$97.74
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: -5.1%)
$67.43
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: -5.1%)
$57.31
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case
$151.92
(+92%)
Analyst growth 73.6%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$138.11
(+75%)
Market implied 73.6%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$54.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$83.56
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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