OPAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OPAL - OPAL Fuels Inc. Class A Common Stock
$2.12
-0.01 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-1.4%
30d:
-5.78%
90d:
+5.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OPAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OPAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.23
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.83
76.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OPAL is currently trading at $2.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.17 to $2.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.8) compared to its historical average (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 38.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPAL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $2.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OPAL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.19 (+50.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPAL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $2.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OPAL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.19 (+50.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.17 -
$2.45
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.5% below Wall St target ($3.19)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.17 -
$2.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.09
Resistance Level
$2.79
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.81
Wall Street Target
$3.19
(+50.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.3%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-38.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.8 vs 7.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-38.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.72
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.55
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→8)
$6.65
(+214%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.7%)
$35.44
(+1572%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$3.20
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$2.72
(+28%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.8 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$9.13
(+330.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+330.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is OPAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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