OPAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OPAL - OPAL Fuels Inc. Class A Common Stock
$2.35
0.13 (5.86%)
▲
5d:
+6.33%
30d:
+6.82%
90d:
+8.8%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OPAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 36.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OPAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 36.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.93
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.27
74.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OPAL is currently trading at $2.35, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.06 to $2.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 36.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPAL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.06, while resistance sits at $2.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.19 (+35.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPAL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.06, while resistance sits at $2.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.19 (+35.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$2.06 -
$2.39
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.7% below Wall St target ($3.19)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.06 -
$2.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.06
Resistance Level
$2.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.11
Wall Street Target
$3.19
(+35.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.3%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-36.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.1 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-36.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.12
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.90
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.71
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→8)
$6.67
(+184%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 16.8%)
$36.79
(+1465%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.1, Growth: 16.8%)
$3.74
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.8, Growth: 16.8%)
$3.18
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.07
Bull Case
$4.88
(+108%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$4.44
(+89%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.7
Bear Case
$1.51
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.1 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$9.14
(+289.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+289.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OPAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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