SSD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSD - Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
$195.27
0.44 (0.23%)
â˛
5d:
+0.95%
30d:
+2.99%
90d:
+5.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SSD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SSD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$246.02
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSD is currently trading at $195.27, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $187.45 to $196.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $200.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $219.00 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $200.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $219.00 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$187.45 -
$196.07
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($219.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$187.45 -
$196.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$184.03
Resistance Level
$200.37
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.11
Wall Street Target
$219.00
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.1%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 19.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$198.00
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$200.78
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$203.59
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â19)
PE COMPRESSION
$195.38
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.2%)
$242.02
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$240.58
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$204.50
(+5%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.13
Bull Case
$227.93
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.4%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$207.21
(+6%)
Market implied 6.4%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$132.48
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 14, 2026 3:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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