ST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ST - Sensata Technologies Holding plc
$44.40
-0.92 (-2.03%)
▼
5d:
-3.73%
30d:
-5.57%
90d:
+13.99%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ST is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ST is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.33
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $44.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.21 to $51.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.88, while resistance sits at $47.99.
Market Sentiment: ST has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.25 (+15.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.88, while resistance sits at $47.99.
Market Sentiment: ST has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.25 (+15.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.21 -
$51.39
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.21 -
$51.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.88
Resistance Level
$47.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.95
Wall Street Target
$51.25
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.55
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$46.74
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$47.95
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$114.86
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 9.2%)
$57.75
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 9.2%)
$49.09
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.85
Bull Case
$54.72
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$45.32
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$34.67
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2913 shares
2026-04-07
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2480 shares
2026-03-18
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2496 shares
2026-02-12
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