Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.63
18.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.4x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: STLA is currently trading at $5.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.38 to $5.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.1) is in line with its historical norms (4.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STLA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.05, while resistance sits at $5.65.
Market Sentiment: STLA scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.98 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.38 -
$5.85
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 36.3% below Wall St target ($6.98)
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 77/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.38 -
$5.85
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level$5.05
Resistance Level$5.65
Current TrendStrong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)4.11
Wall Street Target
$6.98
(+36.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)-45.5%
Profit Margin-12.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 4.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.00
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$4.88
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$4.76
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$5.09
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 93.1%)
$84.52
(+1551%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: 93.1%)
$17.28
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 93.1%)
$14.69
(+187%)
💡Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.1 to 4.4
Stabilization Target:
$5.48
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
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Stellantis was created out of the merger of US-based Fiat Chrysler Automobiles and French-based Peugeot in January 2021, resulting in the fourth-largest automotive original equipment manufacturer by vehicle sales. In 2024 it sold 5.5 million vehicles, 47%, 26% and 17% in Europe, North America, and South America, respectively. Its brands include Fiat, Jeep, Chrysler, Ram, Peugeot, Citroën, Opel, Alfa Romeo, and Maserati.
