SUI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUI - Sun Communities, Inc
$120.19
1.85 (1.56%)
â˛
5d:
-0.11%
30d:
+1.52%
90d:
-3.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SUI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SUI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.35
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUI is currently trading at $120.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.81 to $123.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 39.5) compared to its historical average (45.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.95 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.95 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$118.81 -
$123.07
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($139.95)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.81 -
$123.07
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.74
Resistance Level
$125.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.52
Wall Street Target
$139.95
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.1%
Profit Margin
-37.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
39.5 vs 45.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.02
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$110.08
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$105.34
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40â45)
$120.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.5, Growth: 22.8%)
$222.72
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.8%)
$114.00
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 22.8%)
$96.90
(-19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 50.51 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.34
Bull Case
$142.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 53.0
Base Case
$118.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 50.5
Bear Case
$90.53
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 45.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.5 to 45.1
Stabilization Target:
$137.16
(+14.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 5:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
3800 shares
2026-03-05
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3200 shares
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