Sun Communities (SUI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUI - Sun Communities, Inc
$114.46
0.46 (0.40%)
▲
5d:
+2.34%
30d:
-0.02%
90d:
-4.44%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SUI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SUI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUI is currently trading at $114.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.25 to $118.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.7) compared to its historical average (43.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SUI scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.79 (+20.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SUI scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.79 (+20.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$111.25 -
$118.29
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SUI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($137.79)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.25 -
$118.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.77
Resistance Level
$114.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.72
Wall Street Target
$137.79
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.1%
Profit Margin
-37.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.7 vs 43.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.02
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$100.06
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$93.56
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→44)
$114.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.7, Growth: 37.3%)
$296.23
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.3%)
$164.71
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 37.3%)
$140.00
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 33.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.39
Bull Case
$138.21
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$114.46
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$87.56
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.7 to 43.7
Stabilization Target:
$140.04
(+22.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 12, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SUI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SUI price and gamma walls.
