What is the fair value of TENB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for TENB to be between $33.09 and $39.98. The current price is $36.38.

What is the analyst price target for TENB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for TENB is $35.35. This implies a potential upside of -2.8% from current levels.

TENB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TENB - Tenable Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$36.38

0.21 (0.58%) ▲

5d: +11.46%

30d: -12.06%

90d: +68.9%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $36.38 · last confirmed Aug 7, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: TENB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$37.43

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$23.24

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $36.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.09 to $39.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $33.09 - $39.98

Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 66.7%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.35)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.8% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.09 - $39.98

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.50

Resistance Level $36.87

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.65

Wall Street Target $35.35 (-2.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.6%

Profit Margin 0.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +10.8% premium

PE vs Historical 16.7 vs 12.2 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +10.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $40.31 (+11%)

2-Year Target $44.66 (+23%)

3-Year Target $49.49 (+36%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→12) PE COMPRESSION $36.25 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.1%) $59.05 (+62%)

Base: (SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 10.1%) $48.61 (+34%)

Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 10.1%) $35.61 (-2%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 16.13 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.26

Bull Case $43.93 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.9

Base Case $36.38 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.1

Bear Case $27.83 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 10, 2026 8:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 AM

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Advanced TENB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TENB price and gamma walls.

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