Tenable (TENB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TENB - Tenable Holdings, Inc.
$39.01
0.07 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
+8.03%
30d:
+15.86%
90d:
-1.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TENB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TENB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.73
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $39.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.59 to $37.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TENB scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TENB scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.59 -
$37.81
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TENB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($35.35)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.3% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.59 -
$37.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.49
Resistance Level
$40.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.89
Wall Street Target
$35.35
(-9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 13.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.42
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$48.32
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$53.79
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.09
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.7, Growth: 10.0%)
$57.18
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 10.0%)
$51.92
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 10.0%)
$37.73
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 16.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.40
Bull Case
$47.10
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$39.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$29.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 09, 2026 8:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TENB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TENB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TENB price and gamma walls.
