THC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THC - Tenet Healthcare Corporation New
$263.78
3.21 (1.23%)
▲
5d:
+2.0%
30d:
+0.12%
90d:
+35.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.10
Based on -30.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THC is currently trading at $263.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $256.64 to $264.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $265.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: THC scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $265.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: THC scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$256.64 -
$264.63
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($285.32)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$256.64 -
$264.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$16.51
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$252.12
Resistance Level
$265.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.51
Wall Street Target
$285.32
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
213.4%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$269.58
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$275.51
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$281.58
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$263.33
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -65.8%)
$410.52
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: -65.8%)
$258.61
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: -65.8%)
$219.81
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $25.88
Bull Case
$233.52
(-12%)
Analyst growth -18.5%, PE expands to 11.1
Base Case
$212.29
(-20%)
Market implied -18.5%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$177.19
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 10, 2026 2:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced THC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's THC price and gamma walls.
