TS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TS - Tenaris S. A.
$53.97
-0.34 (-0.63%)
▼
5d:
+2.49%
30d:
-4.87%
90d:
-11.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.67
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $53.97, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.11 to $56.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TS scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.91 (+17.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TS scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.91 (+17.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$53.11 -
$56.89
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($63.91)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 76/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.11 -
$56.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.07
Resistance Level
$54.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.09
Wall Street Target
$63.91
(+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.52
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$50.78
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$49.11
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$54.41
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$114.52
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$74.67
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$63.47
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.69
Bull Case
$66.63
(+23%)
Analyst growth 12.5%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$60.58
(+12%)
Market implied 12.5%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$36.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$60.18
(+10.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 28, 2026 2:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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