Tenaris S. A. (TS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TS - Tenaris S. A.
$60.32
1.01 (1.70%)
▲
5d:
+3.39%
30d:
+7.48%
90d:
+8.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.87
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $60.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.64 to $58.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $60.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $60.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$55.64 -
$58.28
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($64.96)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.64 -
$58.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.49
Resistance Level
$60.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.13
Wall Street Target
$64.96
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.07
(0%)
2-Year Target
$58.84
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$58.60
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$59.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$115.30
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 11.4%)
$82.02
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 11.4%)
$69.72
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case
$71.71
(+21%)
Analyst growth 12.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$65.19
(+10%)
Market implied 12.0%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$39.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$60.04
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 27, 2026 3:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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