TX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TX - Ternium S.A. American Depositary Shares
$55.45
1.24 (2.29%)
▲
5d:
+3.05%
30d:
+17.63%
90d:
+23.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When TX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.03
Based on -0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TX is currently trading at $55.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.07 to $53.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.88, while resistance sits at $58.24.
Market Sentiment: TX scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.88, while resistance sits at $58.24.
Market Sentiment: TX scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$46.07 -
$53.98
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.69)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.07 -
$53.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.88
Resistance Level
$58.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.21
Wall Street Target
$56.69
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.5%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.70
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$55.19
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$55.69
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -4.5%)
$115.44
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: -4.5%)
$47.24
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: -4.5%)
$40.16
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.62
Bull Case
$108.30
(+95%)
Analyst growth 82.3%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$98.46
(+78%)
Market implied 82.3%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$36.72
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Steel Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Steel by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NUE
Nucor Corp |
BUY
15 analysts |
$284 | 49 HOLD |
|
STLD
Steel Dynamics Inc |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$273 | 46 HOLD |
|
MT
ArcelorMittal SA ADR |
BUY
6 analysts |
$76 | 50 HOLD |
|
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc |
SELL
13 analysts |
$12 | 49 HOLD |
|
CMC
Commercial Metals Company |
SELL
11 analysts |
$82 | 44 HOLD |
