Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.60
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.55
18.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: CLF is currently trading at $9.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.84 to $13.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (31.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.11, while resistance sits at $10.92.
Market Sentiment: CLF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.86 (+15.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.84 -
$13.56
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
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Holding CLF? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc is a flat-rolled steel producer and manufacturer of iron ore pellets in North America. It is organized into four operating segments based on differentiated products, Steelmaking, Tubular, Tooling and Stamping and European Operations, but operates through one reportable segment -Steelmaking. It is vertically integrated from mined raw materials, direct reduced iron, and ferrous scrap to primary steelmaking and downstream finishing, stamping, tooling and tubing. It serves a diverse range of other markets due to its comprehensive offering of flat-rolled steel products. Geographically, it operates in the United States, Canada and other countries. The majority of revenue is from the United States. It is a supplier of steel to the automotive industry in North America.
