VNCE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$6.50
-0.34 (-4.97%)
▼
5d:
+6.04%
30d:
-2.4%
90d:
+42.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VNCE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VNCE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $6.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.95 to $6.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.76, while resistance sits at $8.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: VNCE scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+38.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.76, while resistance sits at $8.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: VNCE scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+38.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.95 -
$6.71
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.0% growth with 10.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.95 -
$6.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.76
Resistance Level
$8.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.31
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.0% premium
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 13.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.41
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$8.45
(+30%)
3-Year Target
$9.63
(+48%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.3, Growth: 33.3%)
$15.41
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 33.3%)
$15.25
(+135%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 33.3%)
$10.39
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$3.82
(-41%)
Analyst growth -49.2%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$3.47
(-47%)
Market implied -49.2%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$4.65
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 12:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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