VINCE (VNCE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$10.67
0.07 (0.66%)
▲
5d:
-10.64%
30d:
+5.12%
90d:
+60.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VNCE is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VNCE is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $10.67, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.62 to $12.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.3) compared to its historical average (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 24.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.02, while resistance sits at $13.04.
Market Sentiment: VNCE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+40.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.02, while resistance sits at $13.04.
Market Sentiment: VNCE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+40.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.62 -
$12.30
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.6% below Wall St target ($15.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 24.3% growth with 11.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.62 -
$12.30
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.02
Resistance Level
$13.04
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.34
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+40.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.0%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+24.3% premium
PE vs Historical
33.3 vs 17.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+24.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.26
(+24%)
2-Year Target
$16.49
(+55%)
3-Year Target
$20.49
(+92%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.3, Growth: 33.3%)
$25.29
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 33.3%)
$15.06
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 33.3%)
$12.80
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$6.43
(-40%)
Analyst growth -44.8%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$5.85
(-45%)
Market implied -44.8%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$7.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 01, 2026 2:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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