VNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNT - Vontier Corporation
$32.13
0.24 (0.75%)
▲
5d:
+4.39%
30d:
+12.42%
90d:
-10.45%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.89
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNT is currently trading at $32.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.81 to $31.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.66, while resistance sits at $33.21.
Market Sentiment: VNT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.70 (+23.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.66, while resistance sits at $33.21.
Market Sentiment: VNT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.70 (+23.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.81 -
$31.01
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.6% below Wall St target ($39.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.81 -
$31.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.66
Resistance Level
$33.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.67
Wall Street Target
$39.70
(+23.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.13
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$30.17
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$29.23
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$32.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$98.77
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$41.29
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 8.7%)
$35.09
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.83
Bull Case
$45.96
(+43%)
Analyst growth 31.0%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$41.78
(+30%)
Market implied 31.0%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$21.69
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$35.23
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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