VNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNT - Vontier Corporation
$32.98
0.17 (0.52%)
â˛
5d:
+0.43%
30d:
+8.95%
90d:
+14.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.94
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNT is currently trading at $32.98, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.43 to $33.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.80, while resistance sits at $35.72.
Market Sentiment: VNT scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.05 (+24.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.80, while resistance sits at $35.72.
Market Sentiment: VNT scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.05 (+24.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$30.43 -
$33.76
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($41.05)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.43 -
$33.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.80
Resistance Level
$35.72
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.68
Wall Street Target
$41.05
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.3%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.02
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$31.09
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$30.19
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â10)
$33.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.6%)
$97.60
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 8.6%)
$42.23
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 8.6%)
$35.89
(+9%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.41
Bull Case
$56.88
(+73%)
Analyst growth 57.6%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$51.71
(+57%)
Market implied 57.6%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$22.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$36.08
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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