VNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNT - Vontier Corporation
$29.34
-0.08 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
+0.93%
30d:
+3.6%
90d:
-20.72%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.11
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.49
3.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNT is currently trading at $29.34, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.38 to $29.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.70 (+35.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.70 (+35.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$28.38 -
$29.74
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($39.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.38 -
$29.74
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.15
Resistance Level
$29.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.90
Wall Street Target
$39.70
(+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 9.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.43
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$25.65
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$23.98
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$29.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$104.27
(+255%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$37.81
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 8.8%)
$32.14
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.87
Bull Case
$41.11
(+40%)
Analyst growth 29.2%, PE expands to 11.1
Base Case
$37.37
(+27%)
Market implied 29.2%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$19.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$36.04
(+22.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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