Vontier (VNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNT - Vontier Corporation
$34.36
-0.18 (-0.52%)
▼
5d:
+3.06%
30d:
+11.16%
90d:
+7.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.26
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNT is currently trading at $34.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.26 to $33.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNT scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.85 (+18.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNT scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.85 (+18.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$31.26 -
$33.26
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.85)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.26 -
$33.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.75
Resistance Level
$34.58
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.09
Wall Street Target
$40.85
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.3%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.09
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$33.81
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$33.54
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$34.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.2%)
$95.24
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$43.57
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$37.04
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$59.37
(+73%)
Analyst growth 56.3%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$53.97
(+57%)
Market implied 56.3%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$23.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$35.17
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 11:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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