VNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNT - Vontier Corporation
$30.07
-0.39 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
+1.79%
30d:
+3.98%
90d:
-17.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.83
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.94
2.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNT is currently trading at $30.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.18 to $29.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.91 (+36.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.91 (+36.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.18 -
$29.58
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.0% below Wall St target ($40.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.18 -
$29.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.80
Resistance Level
$30.69
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.12
Wall Street Target
$40.91
(+36.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.21
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$26.46
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$24.82
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$29.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$104.84
(+249%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 9.1%)
$39.07
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 9.1%)
$33.21
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.83
Bull Case
$43.86
(+46%)
Analyst growth 30.9%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$39.88
(+33%)
Market implied 30.9%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$20.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$36.31
(+20.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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