Vontier (VNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNT - Vontier Corporation
$31.66
-0.03 (-0.09%)
▼
5d:
+0.57%
30d:
-2.52%
90d:
+8.91%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.90
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNT is currently trading at $31.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.34 to $32.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNT scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.85 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNT scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.85 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$31.34 -
$32.95
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($40.85)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.34 -
$32.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.43
Resistance Level
$32.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.34
Wall Street Target
$40.85
(+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.3%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 9.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.49
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$29.36
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$28.27
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$31.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.6%)
$99.30
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 8.6%)
$40.59
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 8.6%)
$34.50
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.41
Bull Case
$54.92
(+74%)
Analyst growth 57.5%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$49.93
(+58%)
Market implied 57.5%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$21.55
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$35.31
(+11.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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