WGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WGO - Winnebago Industries, Inc.
$28.28
-0.05 (-0.16%)
▼
5d:
-4.15%
30d:
-3.66%
90d:
-17.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WGO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WGO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.22
37.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WGO is currently trading at $28.27, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.15 to $29.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.29, while resistance sits at $31.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.45 (+46.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.29, while resistance sits at $31.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.45 (+46.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$28.15 -
$29.58
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.4% below Wall St target ($41.45)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.15 -
$29.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.29
Resistance Level
$31.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.62
Wall Street Target
$41.45
(+46.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.1%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.83
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$23.55
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$21.48
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$28.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.8%)
$140.26
(+395%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 29.8%)
$61.94
(+119%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 29.8%)
$52.65
(+86%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$63.07
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$57.34
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$19.50
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$37.40
(+32.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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