WGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WGO - Winnebago Industries, Inc.
$29.56
0.19 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
-3.62%
30d:
+7.14%
90d:
-10.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WGO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WGO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.47
18.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WGO is currently trading at $29.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.96 to $30.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.29, while resistance sits at $31.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.29, while resistance sits at $31.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.96 -
$30.60
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($38.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.96 -
$30.60
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.29
Resistance Level
$31.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.25
Wall Street Target
$38.00
(+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.32
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$29.09
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$28.86
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$29.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.4%)
$124.73
(+322%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 33.4%)
$70.16
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 33.4%)
$59.64
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case
$57.31
(+94%)
Analyst growth 77.4%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$52.10
(+76%)
Market implied 77.4%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$19.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$30.16
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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