ACLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACLS - Axcelis Technologies Inc
$171.06
-12.86 (-6.99%)
▼
5d:
-10.72%
30d:
+12.16%
90d:
+99.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACLS is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACLS is down 10.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.73
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACLS is currently trading at $171.06, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $149.36 to $175.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 39.7) compared to its historical average (24.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $154.06, while resistance sits at $193.78. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACLS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $161.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $154.06, while resistance sits at $193.78. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACLS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $161.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$149.36 -
$175.72
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
32th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACLS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.5% above Wall St target ($161.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 17.9% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$149.36 -
$175.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$19.54
(11.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$154.06
Resistance Level
$193.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.67
Wall Street Target
$161.00
(-12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.9% premium
PE vs Historical
39.7 vs 24.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$216.84
(+18%)
2-Year Target
$255.66
(+39%)
3-Year Target
$301.42
(+64%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$183.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.7, Growth: 21.0%)
$326.18
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.0%)
$179.08
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 21.0%)
$152.21
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (58x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 58.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.23
Bull Case
$296.08
(+61%)
Analyst growth 43.5%, PE expands to 63.9
Base Case
$269.16
(+46%)
Market implied 43.5%, PE stable at 58.1
Bear Case
$127.52
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 49.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Russell Low
SELL
1244 shares
2026-04-01
Jorge Titinger
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-20
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Advanced ACLS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACLS price and gamma walls.
