Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACLS - Axcelis Technologies Inc
$107.21
-9.37 (-8.04%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.86%
30d:
-9.47%
90d:
-20.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACLS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACLS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$255.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$158.61
32.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACLS is currently trading at $107.21, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.81 to $133.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (24.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $106.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACLS scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.00 (+28.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $106.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACLS scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.00 (+28.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$108.81 -
$133.82
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACLS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($150.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.81 -
$133.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$106.38
Resistance Level
$138.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.13
Wall Street Target
$150.00
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 24.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.03
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$107.66
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$103.47
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22â25)
$116.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 28.3%)
$246.21
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.3%)
$220.96
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 28.3%)
$187.81
(+61%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.98
Bull Case
$219.60
(+88%)
Analyst growth 76.8%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$199.64
(+71%)
Market implied 76.8%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$76.79
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 24.9
Stabilization Target:
$131.17
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ACLS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACLS price and gamma walls.
