ACLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACLS - Axcelis Technologies Inc
$136.56
-6.79 (-4.74%)
▼
5d:
-2.44%
30d:
-13.26%
90d:
+23.73%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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1 traders called ACLS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACLS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACLS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.55
6.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACLS is currently trading at $136.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.86 to $182.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.2) compared to its historical average (25.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $122.60, while resistance sits at $191.20. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.67 (+24.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $122.60, while resistance sits at $191.20. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.67 (+24.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$145.86 -
$182.37
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($169.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.9% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$145.86 -
$182.37
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$17.47
(12.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$122.60
Resistance Level
$191.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.17
Wall Street Target
$169.67
(+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
28.2 vs 25.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$141.89
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$147.42
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$153.17
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$136.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.2, Growth: 26.4%)
$276.09
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$213.48
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 26.4%)
$181.46
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.23
Bull Case
$236.67
(+73%)
Analyst growth 50.1%, PE expands to 48.8
Base Case
$215.16
(+58%)
Market implied 50.1%, PE stable at 44.4
Bear Case
$97.48
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Russell Low
SELL
1244 shares
2026-04-01
Jorge Titinger
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-20
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Advanced ACLS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACLS price and gamma walls.
