ACLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACLS - Axcelis Technologies Inc
$143.21
11.51 (8.74%)
▲
5d:
+0.68%
30d:
-23.63%
90d:
+9.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
13d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.55
2.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACLS is currently trading at $143.21, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $138.60 to $180.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.5) compared to its historical average (25.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $127.96, while resistance sits at $149.99. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACLS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.67 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $127.96, while resistance sits at $149.99. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACLS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.67 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$138.60 -
$180.28
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
38th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 38th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($169.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.4% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$138.60 -
$180.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$19.62
(13.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$127.96
Resistance Level
$149.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.54
Wall Street Target
$169.67
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
29.5 vs 25.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$150.94
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$159.09
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$167.69
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.5, Growth: 26.4%)
$289.54
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 26.4%)
$205.34
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$174.54
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.11
Bull Case
$225.83
(+58%)
Analyst growth 55.9%, PE expands to 46.6
Base Case
$205.30
(+43%)
Market implied 55.9%, PE stable at 42.4
Bear Case
$89.56
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 21, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Russell Low
SELL
1244 shares
2026-04-01
Jorge Titinger
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-20
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Advanced ACLS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACLS price and gamma walls.
