ACLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACLS - Axcelis Technologies Inc
$142.93
7.50 (5.54%)
▲
5d:
-19.85%
30d:
-7.64%
90d:
+36.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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1 traders called ACLS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACLS is down 19.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACLS is down 19.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.55
2.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACLS is currently trading at $142.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $148.13 to $181.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.5) compared to its historical average (25.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $122.60, while resistance sits at $191.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.67 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $122.60, while resistance sits at $191.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.67 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$148.13 -
$181.89
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
38th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACLS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 38th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($169.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.6% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -19.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$148.13 -
$181.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$18.73
(13.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$122.60
Resistance Level
$191.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.48
Wall Street Target
$169.67
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
29.5 vs 25.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$150.93
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$159.39
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$168.31
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$142.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.5, Growth: 26.4%)
$288.97
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$213.48
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 26.4%)
$181.46
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.31
Bull Case
$218.19
(+53%)
Analyst growth 46.5%, PE expands to 45.0
Base Case
$198.36
(+39%)
Market implied 46.5%, PE stable at 40.9
Bear Case
$92.09
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 10, 2026 8:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Russell Low
SELL
1244 shares
2026-04-01
Jorge Titinger
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-20
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Advanced ACLS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACLS price and gamma walls.
