ACLS
Axcelis Technologies Inc
SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC
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Axcelis Technologies (ACLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$111.17
+4.38 (+4.10%)
▲
5d:
+20.65%
30d:
-10.98%
90d:
-22.28%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$99.50 – $127.99
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.9x
CHEAP
vs 24.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$132.00
+18.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
30th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$82.03 / $116.81
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$297.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$184.42
39.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACLS is currently trading at $111.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.50 to $127.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (24.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $82.03, while resistance sits at $116.81. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACLS scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.00 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACLS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $82.03, while resistance sits at $116.81. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACLS scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.00 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$99.50 -
$127.99
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$99.50 -
$127.99
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.35
(10.2%)
Support Level
$82.03
Resistance Level
$116.81
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($132.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.93
Wall Street Target
$132.00
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
45.8%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 24.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.05
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$90.05
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$81.04
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→25)
$111.19
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 51.0%)
$415.57
(+274%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 51.0%)
$375.20
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 51.0%)
$318.92
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.36
Bull Case
$218.48
(+105%)
Analyst growth 84.5%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case
$198.62
(+86%)
Market implied 84.5%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$73.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 24.6
Stabilization Target:
$152.52
(+37.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ACLS)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on $ACLS as traders anticipate further price declines based on recent messages on StockTwits.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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