ACU Acme United Corporation CUTLERY, HANDTOOLS & GENERAL HARDWARE

Acme United (ACU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$70.22
+0.02 (+0.03%) ▲
5d: +2.0% 30d: +14.4% 90d: +16.26%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$62.09 – $68.68
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
26.2x FAIR
vs 28.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$70.00
-0.3% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$66.32 / $72.21
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.47
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACU is currently trading at $70.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.09 to $68.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (28.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ACU scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $62.09 - $68.68
Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $62.09 - $68.68
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $66.32
Resistance Level $72.21
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.20
Wall Street Target $70.00 (-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 73.9%
Profit Margin 5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.2 vs 28.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $68.46 (-3%)
2-Year Target $66.75 (-5%)
3-Year Target $65.08 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→28) $70.30 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.2, Growth: 1.9%) $74.30 (+6%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.9%) $56.32 (-20%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 1.9%) $47.87 (-32%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.75
Bull Case $75.25 (+7%)
Analyst growth -2.5%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case $68.41 (-3%)
Market implied -2.5%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case $47.74 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.2 to 28.3
Stabilization Target: $75.84 (+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.0%
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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