Is ADBE stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ADBE is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: ADBE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ADBE stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ADBE to be between $239.18 and $277.37. The current price is $238.03.

What is the analyst price target for ADBE?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ADBE is $275.06. This implies a potential upside of 14.0% from current levels.

Adobe (ADBE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ADBE - Adobe Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$238.03

-3.25 (-1.35%) ▼

5d: +1.09%

30d: -14.93%

90d: +9.15%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your ADBE Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 10, 2026 0d

Get Alerted When ADBE Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADBE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 13.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$415.22

Based on 8.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$257.82

7.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ADBE is currently trading at $238.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $239.18 to $277.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ADBE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $224.67, while resistance sits at $254.67.

Market Sentiment: ADBE scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $275.06 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $239.18 - $277.37

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 88.1%

Protect Your Profits

Holding ADBE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (86/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($275.06)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 31% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $239.18 - $277.37

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $224.67

Resistance Level $254.67

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.72

Wall Street Target $275.06 (+14.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 10.5%

Profit Margin 28.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 8.7 vs 10.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $230.18 (-5%)

2-Year Target $219.59 (-9%)

3-Year Target $209.49 (-13%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $240.27 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.0%) $815.45 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 13.0%) $348.52 (+44%)

Bear: (PE: 7.4, Growth: 13.0%) $296.24 (+23%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 13.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.43

Bull Case $396.31 (+64%)

Analyst growth 50.2%, PE expands to 14.3

Base Case $360.28 (+49%)

Market implied 50.2%, PE stable at 13.0

Bear Case $163.16 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 10.0

Stabilization Target: $276.73 (+14.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +14.7%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is ADBE showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Daniel Durn SELL 1336 shares 2026-04-20

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for ADBE.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Software - Application Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
SNOW Snowflake Inc.	STRONG BUY 51 analysts	$425	48 HOLD
CRM Salesforce.com Inc	STRONG BUY 55 analysts	$281	54 HOLD
DDOG Datadog Inc	STRONG BUY 48 analysts	$286	29 SELL
KVYO Klaviyo, Inc.	STRONG BUY 23 analysts	$27	71 BUY
BRZE Braze Inc	STRONG BUY 20 analysts	$37	57 HOLD

SNOW Snowflake Inc.

48 HOLD

CRM Salesforce.com Inc

Advanced ADBE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADBE price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for ADBE

ADBE Technical Chart ADBE Price Prediction ADBE Earnings Date ADBE Investment Advisor ADBE Fair Price Analyzer ADBE Options Advisor ADBE Options Chain ADBE Options Analysis ADBE Competitors

Compare ADBE with Peers

ADBE vs CRM
Which one to buy?

ADBE vs PYPL
Which one to buy?

ADBE vs NOW
Which one to buy?

ADBE vs SHOP
Which one to buy?

ADBE vs CRWD
Which one to buy?

ADBE vs YOU
Winner: ADBE

INTU vs ADBE
Winner: ADBE

ADBE vs PCAR

YAAS vs ADBE

NET vs ADBE
Winner: ADBE

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie