ADMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ADMA - ADMA Biologics, Inc.

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$8.49
-0.08 (-0.93%) ▼
5d: -0.12%
30d: +0.35%
90d: -37.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 8.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.82
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.79
42.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ADMA is currently trading at $8.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.95 to $8.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ADMA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.88, while resistance sits at $8.89.

Market Sentiment: ADMA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.60 (+105.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $7.95 - $8.50
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 105.4% below Wall St target ($17.60)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.95 - $8.50
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.88
Resistance Level $8.90
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.59
Wall Street Target $17.60 (+105.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -52.8%
Profit Margin 32.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 12.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.71 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.94 (-19%)
3-Year Target $6.25 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→13) $9.38 (+10%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.6%) $40.08 (+368%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 22.6%) $15.81 (+85%)
Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: 22.6%) $13.44 (+57%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case $13.41 (+57%)
Analyst growth 46.7%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case $12.19 (+42%)
Market implied 46.7%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case $5.65 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 12.9
Stabilization Target: $12.87 (+50.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +50.1%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kaitlin M Kestenberg-Mes… SELL 10096 shares 2026-03-09
Steve Elms BUY 7000 shares 2026-03-05

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