AEE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEE - Ameren Corporation
$113.35
0.41 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
+0.32%
30d:
+4.21%
90d:
-0.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.37
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEE is currently trading at $113.35, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.59 to $113.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $111.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $111.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$107.59 -
$113.90
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($120.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.59 -
$113.90
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.54
Resistance Level
$118.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.32
Wall Street Target
$120.80
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Profit Margin
17.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$113.62
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$114.30
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$114.99
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$113.08
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$164.19
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 8.8%)
$145.64
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 8.8%)
$123.80
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.56
Bull Case
$129.27
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.1%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$117.52
(+4%)
Market implied 5.1%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$76.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-06
Michael L Moehn
SELL
6500 shares
2026-02-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
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