Ameren (AEE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEE - Ameren Corporation
$99.64
0.26 (0.26%)
▲
5d:
+0.44%
30d:
-6.08%
90d:
-13.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AEE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AEE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.06
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEE is currently trading at $99.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.86 to $106.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.88 (+18.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.88 (+18.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$100.86 -
$106.64
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AEE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($117.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.86 -
$106.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.18
Resistance Level
$103.08
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.08
Wall Street Target
$117.88
(+18.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
18.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.45
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$93.37
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$90.38
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$99.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.1%)
$150.31
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 8.1%)
$125.83
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 8.1%)
$106.96
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.68
Bull Case
$112.29
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.7%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$102.08
(+2%)
Market implied 2.7%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$67.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$109.68
(+10.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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