Ameren (AEE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEE - Ameren Corporation
$108.37
1.89 (1.77%)
▲
5d:
+4.44%
30d:
+8.65%
90d:
-4.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AEE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AEE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.19
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEE is currently trading at $108.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.01 to $104.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $106.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEE scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $106.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEE scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$100.01 -
$104.42
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AEE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($115.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.01 -
$104.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.57
Resistance Level
$106.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.26
Wall Street Target
$115.25
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
18.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.52
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$104.57
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$103.63
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$106.12
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.1%)
$146.17
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 8.1%)
$134.40
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 8.1%)
$114.24
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.68
Bull Case
$119.96
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.7%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$109.05
(+2%)
Market implied 2.7%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$72.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$109.04
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 1:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEE price and gamma walls.