AEO
American Eagle Outfitters
RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES
American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.55
+0.07 (+0.33%)
▲
5d:
+0.89%
30d:
+21.2%
90d:
+32.21%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 01, 2026
18d
Protect AEO Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (15%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$17.63 – $20.32
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.5x
FAIR
vs 11.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$18.60
-13.7% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$19.05 / $21.95
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AEO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.29
7.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEO is currently trading at $21.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.63 to $20.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $18.60. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $18.60. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.63 -
$20.32
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
15.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$17.63 -
$20.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$19.05
Resistance Level
$21.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AEO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.7% above Wall St target ($18.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.53
Wall Street Target
$18.60
(-13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
75.6%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.39
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$23.26
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$24.17
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.9%)
$73.22
(+240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 28.9%)
$46.19
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 28.9%)
$39.26
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.95
Bull Case
$20.84
(-3%)
Analyst growth -11.8%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$18.95
(-12%)
Market implied -11.8%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$14.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AEO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message expresses optimism towards American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) and its subsidiary Aerie, based on personal experiences.
Key Retail Themes:
Consumer Preferences
Brand Perception
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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