Akamai Technologies (AKAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$86.68
+2.97 (+3.55%)
â˛
5d:
+0.87%
30d:
-13.26%
90d:
-30.82%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$84.98 â $101.69
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.5x
CHEAP
vs 15.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$130.39
+50.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$77.37 / $99.60
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AKAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 10, 2026 at $83.71 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.97
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKAM is currently trading at $86.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.98 to $101.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.37, while resistance sits at $99.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.39 (+50.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.37, while resistance sits at $99.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.39 (+50.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$84.98 -
$101.69
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$84.98 -
$101.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$77.37
Resistance Level
$99.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AKAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.4% below Wall St target ($130.39)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.51
Wall Street Target
$130.39
(+50.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.6%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 15.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.65
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$76.92
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$72.46
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â15)
$86.86
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.8%)
$163.13
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 5.8%)
$102.78
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 5.8%)
$87.36
(+1%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$184.16
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$167.42
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$56.92
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$103.91
(+19.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AKAM)
Bearish
5 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
4 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Akamai Technologies received credit downgrades from Moody's and S&P following their decision to raise $2.2B in convertible debt to fund AI infrastructure buildout, with both agencies citing mounting concerns over the company's all-debt financing strategy and the resulting financial obligations.
Key Retail Themes:
debt-fueled expansion
credit downgrades
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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