What is the fair value of AKAM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AKAM to be between $104.57 and $112.37. The current price is $108.92.

What is the analyst price target for AKAM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AKAM is $158.87. This implies a potential upside of 45.9% from current levels.

Akamai Technologies (AKAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AKAM - Akamai Technologies Inc

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

$108.92

1.99 (1.86%) ▲

5d: -4.41%

30d: +3.64%

90d: -3.38%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 29, 2026 at $106.72 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: AKAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 3.2%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$123.43

Based on 3.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$76.64

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AKAM is currently trading at $108.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.57 to $112.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AKAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $104.00, while resistance sits at $128.46.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.87 (+45.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $104.57 - $112.37

Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 75.7%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 45.9% below Wall St target ($158.87)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 5.4% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $104.57 - $112.37

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $104.00

Resistance Level $128.46

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.90

Wall Street Target $158.87 (+45.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -26.8%

Profit Margin 9.5%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium

PE vs Historical 15.9 vs 15.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $110.77 (+2%)

2-Year Target $112.65 (+3%)

3-Year Target $114.57 (+5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $108.79 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 3.2%) $153.39 (+41%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 3.2%) $119.57 (+10%)

Bear: (PE: 13.5, Growth: 3.2%) $101.63 (-7%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 38.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.78

Bull Case $235.25 (+116%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.3

Base Case $213.86 (+96%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.5

Bear Case $72.71 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM

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Advanced AKAM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AKAM price and gamma walls.

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