ALE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALE - ALLETE, Inc.
$67.92
-0.02 (-0.03%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.43%
30d:
+0.58%
90d:
+7.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Dec 12, 2025 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ALE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ALE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.31
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALE is currently trading at $67.92, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -7.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.42
Resistance Level
$67.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Dec 12, 2025
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.64
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.9%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.30
(+30%)
2-Year Target
$114.78
(+69%)
3-Year Target
$149.22
(+120%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$147.92
(+118%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 5.7%)
$80.24
(+18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.6, Growth: 5.7%)
$108.91
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 5.7%)
$79.55
(+17%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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