Affiliated Managers Group (AMG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$396.94
-4.99 (-1.24%)
▼
5d:
+13.24%
30d:
+6.66%
90d:
+6.03%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
0d
Protect AMG Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$371.48 – $395.15
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.4x
STRETCHED
vs 9.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$453.86
+12.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$348.02 / $408.07
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$244.39
Based on -4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMG is currently trading at $396.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $371.48 to $395.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $408.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $453.86 (+12.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $408.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $453.86 (+12.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$371.48 -
$395.15
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$371.48 -
$395.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$17.75
(4.5%)
Support Level
$348.02
Resistance Level
$408.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($453.86)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.0% growth with 12.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.37
Wall Street Target
$453.86
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Profit Margin
35.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$434.08
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$468.81
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$506.32
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$401.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -13.9%)
$470.58
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: -13.9%)
$293.01
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: -13.9%)
$232.21
(-42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.29
Bull Case
$507.20
(+26%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$461.09
(+15%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$272.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMG)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates $AMG on StockTwits with no new information from Yahoo Finance.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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