AMWD
American Woodmark Corp
MILLWOOD, VENEER, PLYWOOD, & STRUCTURAL WOOD MEMBERS
American Woodmark (AMWD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$48.09
+5.52 (+12.97%)
â˛
5d:
+40.45%
30d:
+6.18%
90d:
-7.45%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
25.7x
STRETCHED
vs 20.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$55.00
+14.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$33.29 / $48.33
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMWD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.30
Based on -9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMWD is currently trading at $48.09, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.7) compared to its historical average (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMWD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMWD scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+14.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMWD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMWD scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+14.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
84.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$33.29
Resistance Level
$48.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 27, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.3% growth with -18.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.72
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.6%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.3% premium
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 20.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.08
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$56.40
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$61.09
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: -23.0%)
$35.06
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: -23.0%)
$29.98
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: -23.0%)
$25.48
(-47%)
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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