ASIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIC - Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings
$25.11
0.99 (4.10%)
▲
5d:
+0.52%
30d:
+19.23%
90d:
+22.01%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASIC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASIC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.17
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIC is currently trading at $25.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.77 to $24.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASIC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASIC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.77 -
$24.33
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($27.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.3% growth expectation is conservative given 155% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.77 -
$24.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.36
Resistance Level
$25.85
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.13
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
155.0%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 8.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.94
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$28.91
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$31.02
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.5%)
$104.26
(+315%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 24.5%)
$48.50
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 24.5%)
$39.25
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.92
Bull Case
$34.25
(+36%)
Analyst growth 29.1%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$31.14
(+24%)
Market implied 29.1%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$16.40
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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