ASIC
Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings
FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
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Ategrity Specialty Insurance (ASIC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$24.35
-0.01 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
-0.45%
30d:
-6.02%
90d:
-2.87%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
62/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$23.84 – $26.54
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.8x
FAIR
vs 9.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$28.40
+16.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$23.20 / $25.03
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASIC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.33
Based on 13.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.67
5.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIC is currently trading at $24.35, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.84 to $26.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASIC scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.40 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASIC scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.40 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$23.84 -
$26.54
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$23.84 -
$26.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$23.20
Resistance Level
$25.03
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 8.2% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 76/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.82
Wall Street Target
$28.40
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.6%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.93
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$25.53
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$26.15
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.23
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.1%)
$89.73
(+269%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 22.1%)
$44.37
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 22.1%)
$37.71
(+55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$33.39
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.6%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$30.35
(+25%)
Market implied 24.6%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$16.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ASIC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
One bullish StockTwits message suggests buying $ASIC based on positive sentiment.
Key Retail Themes:
Buy recommendation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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