ASLE
AerSale Corporation Common Stock
WHOLESALE-MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
AerSale (ASLE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$5.14
-0.23 (-4.28%)
▼
5d:
+6.64%
30d:
+9.83%
90d:
-12.44%
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Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (37%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$4.65 – $5.03
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
30.2x
STRETCHED
vs 11.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.75
+11.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
22th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.52 / $5.39
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASLE is currently trading at $5.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.65 to $5.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.2) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 36.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASLE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.52, while resistance sits at $5.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASLE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.75 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASLE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.52, while resistance sits at $5.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASLE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.75 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.65 -
$5.03
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
22th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
36.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.65 -
$5.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.40
(7.8%)
Support Level
$4.52
Resistance Level
$5.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ASLE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.75)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 36.9% growth expectation is conservative given 129% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.24
Wall Street Target
$5.75
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
128.9%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+36.9% premium
PE vs Historical
30.2 vs 11.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+36.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.04
(+37%)
2-Year Target
$9.63
(+87%)
3-Year Target
$13.19
(+157%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.2, Growth: 9.7%)
$6.78
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.7%)
$4.45
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$2.65
(-49%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ASLE)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message suggests buying $ASLE near tangible book value and waiting for equipment sales in MRO/USM to drive asset monetization cycle.
Key Retail Themes:
Equipment sales in MRO/USM sector
Asset monetization cycle
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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