ASLE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASLE - AerSale Corporation Common Stock
$5.56
0.01 (0.27%)
▲
5d:
-5.28%
30d:
-10.03%
90d:
-9.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASLE is currently trading at $5.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.75 to $6.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.0) compared to its historical average (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 31.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASLE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASLE scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+30.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASLE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASLE scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+30.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.75 -
$6.33
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
56th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ASLE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 56th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($7.25)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 31.5% growth expectation is conservative given 129% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.75 -
$6.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.78
(14.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.53
Resistance Level
$5.92
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.98
Wall Street Target
$7.25
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-33.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
128.9%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+31.5% premium
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 9.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+31.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.31
(+32%)
2-Year Target
$9.61
(+73%)
3-Year Target
$12.64
(+127%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 71.0%)
$18.76
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 71.0%)
$17.95
(+223%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 71.0%)
$8.23
(+48%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Judith Ann Fedder
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-11
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Advanced ASLE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASLE price and gamma walls.
