AerSale (ASLE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASLE - AerSale Corporation Common Stock
$5.04
0.04 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
-6.67%
30d:
-7.86%
90d:
-22.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASLE is currently trading at $5.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.29 to $5.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 20.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASLE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASLE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+43.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASLE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASLE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+43.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.29 -
$5.64
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ASLE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.8% below Wall St target ($7.25)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 20.7% growth expectation is conservative given 129% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.29 -
$5.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.00
Resistance Level
$5.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.02
Wall Street Target
$7.25
(+43.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-33.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
128.9%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+20.7% premium
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 10.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+20.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.08
(+21%)
2-Year Target
$7.34
(+46%)
3-Year Target
$8.86
(+76%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.03
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 71.0%)
$18.25
(+262%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 71.0%)
$17.01
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 71.0%)
$9.66
(+92%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ASLE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASLE price and gamma walls.
