ASTL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASTL - Algoma Steel Group Inc. Common Shares
$3.77
-0.06 (-1.57%)
▼
5d:
-9.81%
30d:
-32.8%
90d:
-8.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASTL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ASTL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASTL is currently trading at $3.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.15 to $5.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -1.4) compared to its historical average (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASTL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+430.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASTL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+430.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.15 -
$5.35
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
43th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ASTL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 43th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 430.5% below Wall St target ($20.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.15 -
$5.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.43
(11.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.70
Resistance Level
$4.82
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-1.43
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+430.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-42.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-93.0%
Profit Margin
-60.0%
PE vs Historical
-1.4 vs 15.7
CHEAP
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 02, 2026 10:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASTL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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NUE
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STLD
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TX
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MT
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6 analysts |
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CMC
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SELL
11 analysts |
$82 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced ASTL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASTL price and gamma walls.
