ASTL
Algoma Steel Group Inc. Common Shares
Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
ASTL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$5.61
-0.15 (-2.60%)
▼
5d:
+12.42%
30d:
+31.07%
90d:
+31.07%
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Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (19%)
Quality Score
22/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$4.15 – $5.07
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
-2.2x
CHEAP
vs 15.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$20.00
+247.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.62 / $5.87
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ASTL is 10.7% above its trading range ($5.07). Market expects 0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASTL is currently trading at $5.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.15 to $5.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -2.2) compared to its historical average (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.62, while resistance sits at $5.87.
Market Sentiment: ASTL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+247.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.62, while resistance sits at $5.87.
Market Sentiment: ASTL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+247.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.15 -
$5.07
Company Quality Score
22/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.15 -
$5.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$4.62
Resistance Level
$5.87
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ASTL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 247.2% below Wall St target ($20.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 22/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-2.19
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+247.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-52.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-93.0%
Profit Margin
-59.1%
PE vs Historical
-2.2 vs 15.7
CHEAP
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ASTL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 17, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits user Blas expresses a bullish sentiment towards $ASTL following a CCC+ rating affirmation with a stable outlook. The user mentions challenges such as US tariffs and domestic oversupply affecting margins, resulting in negative EBITDA modeling.
Key Retail Themes:
rating affirmation
challenges affecting margins
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASTL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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